July, 2013

Monetary Metals Supply and Demand Report: July 28, 2013

“Gold and silver went up this week,” is how most people would say it. This would be perceived as good news amongst the gold bugs. Of course, Monetary Metals looks at it differently. We say, “The dollar fell this week.” Expressing it this way makes it clear that there is no cause for celebration. As […]

What Drives Negative GOFO and Temporary Gold Backwardation?

I coined the term temporary backwardation in March of last year. This is what I said: But in the “new normal”, post 2008, the expiring gold or silver future often flirts with or even slips into backwardation for a period before expiry.  This is anything but normal.  It’s not a sign of imminent financial Armageddon, […]

Monetary Metals Supply and Demand Report: July 21, 2013

“Gold went up $11.70 this week,” is how most people would say it. This would be perceived as good news amongst the gold bugs. Of course, Monetary Metals looks at it differently. We say, “The dollar fell this week.” Expressing it this way makes it clear that there is no cause for celebration. As we […]

Theory of Interest and Prices in Paper Currency Part IV (Rising Cycle)

In Part I (http://keithweinereconomics.com/2013/04/22/theory-of-interest-and-prices-in-paper-currency-part-i-linearity/), we looked at the concepts of nonlinearity, dynamics, multivariate, state, and contiguity. We showed that whatever the relationship may be between prices and the money supply in irredeemable paper currency, it is not a simple matter of rising money supply à rising prices. In Part II (http://keithweinereconomics.com/2013/05/15/theory-of-interest-and-prices-in-paper-currency-part-ii-mechanics/), we discussed the mechanics […]

Supply and Demand Report July 14, 2013

“Gold went up every day this week,” is how most people would say it. This would be cause for great cheer. Of course, we say it differently “the dollar fell every day this week.” Expressing it this way makes it clear that there is no cause for celebration.  As we see from looking at the […]

A Picture of Gold Availability

The October gold future went into backwardation today, July 8. Below, we show the dates when previous gold contracts went into backwardation. As you can see, it is creeping farther and farther out. This is a picture of gold availability to the market drying up. – Apr first backwardated Feb 15, 30 trading days before […]

Monetary Metals Supply and Demand Report: July 7, 2013

The Gold Basis Report is fundamental analysis of gold and silver. The basis is a measure of availability of metal to the market. When the basis is high and rising, then metal is abundant. When the basis falls below zero, and the cobasis rises above zero (gold goes into backwardation) then that means danger (and […]

Monetary Metals Supply and Demand Report: June 30, 2013

The Gold Basis Report is fundamental analysis of gold and silver. The basis is a measure of availability of metal to the market. When the basis is high and rising, then metal is abundant. When the basis falls below zero, and the cobasis rises above zero (gold goes into backwardation) then that means danger (and […]