Premium Reports

Gold and Silver Get Powelled, 27 Oct 2017

On Friday’s “Powell Spike”, somebody thought Powell would be good for gold. The price rallied four bucks in a minute, and then another three bucks within 8 minutes. But who? Was it stackers loading up on coins, prepping for inflatiocalypse? Or was it speculators loading up on leverage, betting on futures? And how can we […]

What Made Silver Go Up, Update 20 Oct 2017

Silver’s move on October 19th was more extreme than gold’s (see here for an explanation of gold’s price action). The price move was four times as great. What of the basis move? The basis move was also correspondingly larger: 30bps vs. 7bps. Again, it uncannily tracks the price. Unlike gold—for whatever it’s worth—the silver basis […]

Gold and Silver Intraday for Friday 6 Oct 2017

These are the intraday charts for Friday, subscriber-only supplement to the Supply and Demand Report for 8 October. The price action was pretty crazy on Friday, so we wanted to show what happened with the basis. Speculative or fundamental? Here is the chart. We see that the basis tracks the price. Although, there is this […]

Thoughtful Disagreement with Ted Butler – Gold Basis

This article follows on from Keith Weiner’s response to Ted Butler’s Thoughtful Disagreement challenge. Below is a graph of all 130 gold contracts since February 1996, aligned by contract age in terms of number of days until expiry on the X axis of the chart and basis in percentage per annum on the Y axis. […]