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2024 Gold Outlook Report |
PhD, CEO & Founder
Keith Weiner is a leading authority in the areas of gold, money, and credit and has made important contributions to the development of trading techniques founded upon the analysis of bid-ask spreads. He is the founder of DiamondWare, a software company sold to Nortel in 2008, and he currently serves as President of the Gold Standard Institute USA. He earned his PhD from the New Austrian School of Economics.*
The dollar dropped a lot more this week than it has in any one week for a long time. Measured conventionally, the gold price spiked $51, and the silver price by $1.47. Gold owners have 4% more dollars, and silver owners have 7.4% more dollars. However, those dollars are worth less. How much less? To […]
The dollar dropped about another half a milligram this week, to 24.6mg (or, if you still believe the dollar is money, the price of gold rose $23). In silver terms, the dollar dropped 0.06g to 1.56g. Is this the big dollar breakdown (i.e. the big gold breakout)? Read on… Here is the graph of the […]
In Part I, we discussed the concept of arbitrage. We showed why defining it as a risk-free investment that earns more than the risk-free rate of interest is invalid. There is no such thing as a risk-free investment, and in any case, economics must be focused on the acting man rather than theoretical constructs. We […]
The dollar rose half a milligram this week, to 25mg (or, if you still believe the dollar is money, the price of gold fell from $25 to $1244). In silver terms, the dollar rose nearly 4%, to 1.62g. Is this it? The dollar’s terminal fall? Read on… Here is the graph of the metals’ prices. […]
This week, the price of gold rose $16 but the price of silver fell 39 cents. The catalyst for higher prices was early on Thursday morning (west coast USA time), when the euro and yen rose and to a less extent other assets like crude oil. Credit poured forth somewhere, or a sudden fear of […]
Professor Tom Fischer has written three papers[1][2][3] about gold backwardation and arbitrage. Across these three papers, he makes a case against the ideas of Professor Antal Fekete. I write this response solely on my own behalf. I do not speak on behalf of Fekete or his New Austrian school of Economics. I have two motivations […]
ffThis week, the prices of gold and silver were drifting slowly downwards until Friday morning. It’s not clear what the driver was (could be rumors of the German financial regulator starting to look at gold trading?) From around 7:30am in NY to 9am, the prices rose to above their close from the previous week. At […]
Last week, I wrote about a curious development in silver. The bid-ask spread widened in November and December. My article concluded: One should regard this as another type of rot in the core of the system. The point of my dissertation is that narrowing spreads is a sign of increasing economic coordination, and widening spreads […]
On Friday morning, the Non-Farm Payroll report was released. Instantly, the euro spiked 90 cents, silver spiked 44 cents, and every other asset class reacted. Was this buying of gold and silver by hoarders, who decided to raise their bid by 2%? Or was it speculators using leverage to trade their tired Quantity Theory of […]
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