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2024 Gold Outlook Report |
PhD, CEO & Founder
Keith Weiner is a leading authority in the areas of gold, money, and credit and has made important contributions to the development of trading techniques founded upon the analysis of bid-ask spreads. He is the founder of DiamondWare, a software company sold to Nortel in 2008, and he currently serves as President of the Gold Standard Institute USA. He earned his PhD from the New Austrian School of Economics.*
In the 17th century, the price of Dutch tulips ran up to incredible levels before collapsing, ruining many who participated in the first well-documented bubble. We are not knowledgable about horticulture, but we are sure that those Dutch tulips were fine specimens and produced wonderful flowers. And this is where bubbles generally begin. There is […]
Not too long ago, I wrote dollar backwardation. It’s happening, not in the dollar, but in the euro in Cyprus. Zero Hedge writes the following. Banks have been closed all week, the threat of loss of part of one’s deposits is still there, it is at best uncertain when banks will reopen, and capital controls […]
Put this in perspective. The government of Cyprus borrowed money it had neither means nor intent to repay. Borrowing, for a government, means selling bonds. The Cyprus banks borrowed money, which for a bank means taking in deposits (among other sources of funds). They used that money they borrowed from their depositors to buy Cyprus […]
There is nothing like the pain of real losses to impress a principle deeply into people’s psyches. In Cyprus (and likely in other similarly situated countries) a lesson is now clearer to more people and businesses than it has yet been. The Euro-banking system cannot be trusted. Below are our analysis and predictions. We expect […]
After markets closed on Friday, it was announced that Cyprus worked out a deal with the European Central Bank, European Commission, and the International Monetary Fund (“the Troika”). Here is a typical article reporting on the story. Cyrpus has been in desperate need of a bailout, and was in discussions as early as June last […]
The Last Contango Basis Report The dollar went down almost 1%, from 19.71mg to 19.53mg (gold), graphs of the currencies priced in gold here (from now on, in milligrams). The big news after markets closed on Friday was the default in Cyprus. The euro is down against the dollar and against gold in early trading […]
A group called “Being Liberal” posted the following graph to Facebook purporting showing how deficit as a proportion of GDP has fallen from 10% to 4%. The caption implies two things: 1) most Americans are simply ignorant if they think that there is a borrowing or debt problem 2) the deficit is falling (the caption […]
When writing about economics (as opposed to trading), one does not expect to be proven right within days of publishing something. Things can take years to play out. On Monday, February 25, we published What Drives the Price of Gold and Silver? In that article, I wrote: If there is a credible rumor that the […]
Gold is in Backwardation!
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