The Gold Exchange Report is Keith Weiner’s monthly commentary incorporating Keith’s unique insights into monetary science and economic theory. He riffs on markets, metals, macro and money.

Gold Exchange Report

Gold Outlook 2024 Brief

Gold Outlook Report 2024 Featured Image

This is a brief preview of our annual Gold Outlook Report. Every year we take an in-depth look at the market dynamics and drivers and finally, give our predictions for gold and silver prices over the coming year. Click here to download a free copy of the full Gold Outlook Report 2024. The talking heads […]

What Is Undermining the Banks? 

April Fools

April 1, 2023  First, it was the crypto-focused Silvergate Bank. Then it was Silicon Valley Bank. And immediately after, Signature Bank. Silvergate and Signature could be dismissed because, well, crypto. But Silicon Valley Bank is something entirely else. It was older, and much larger. And a mainstay of high-tech, venture-funded startups for many decades.  Then […]

Why Can’t Banks Raise Their Rates on Deposits?

Why Can’t Banks Raise Their Rates on Deposits?

As the Federal Reserve has hiked rates from 0% to over 4.75%, the average interest rate on bank deposits has remained low, around the FDIC’s national average for savings accounts of 0.37%. This has led many to ask the simple question.   Why aren’t banks raising the interest rate on deposits?   The Hotel California Banking System  […]

Did the Fed just Pivot?

Did the Fed just Pivot

Last week, we had this to say about the implications of SVB’s collapse…  Everyone in the market has to think about an unpleasant reality and come to grips with it. They have to consider the risks of things that previously they may have thought absolutely safe. Such as bank deposits, and Treasury bonds (and government-guaranteed […]

What Caused the Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank?

The Collapse of Silicon Valley Bank

You can listen to an audio summary of this article below. Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) collapsed and was then seized by the California Department of Financial Protection on Friday, March 10. This came after a frenetic two days, when the bank announced a big loss, tried to raise capital, and then faced an accelerating run-on-the-bank. […]

Jay Powell is Victor Frankenstein

Zombie Powell

In the world of finance, something has been haunting economists and investors alike: zombie firms. The Fed has created hordes of zombie firms, with a study in April 2021 finding that over 25% of U.S. companies were zombies in 2020. These undead firms have been sucking the life out of the economy.  But things are […]

Want to know where silver is headed in 2023? Look at this little-known indicator…

Silver and Labor

Every year we take a step back from our regular business of paying interest on gold and silver to our clients to give our thoughts on the likely direction of gold and silver prices for the coming year. We provide this in-depth analysis, for free, in our annual Gold Outlook Report.   This year we noticed […]

The Fed’s Demand Destruction: What It Means for You and Me

Fed Demand Destruction

If you listen to financial pundits talking about the Federal Reserve and the current state of the markets you might hear this term mentioned:  “Demand destruction.” What is it? And what does it mean for you and me? We’ll first discuss the mainstream understanding of the concept and then unpack why it’s more nefarious than […]

Gold Outlook 2023 Brief

Monetary Metals Gold Outlook 2023

This is a brief preview of our annual Gold Outlook Report. Every year we take an in-depth look at the market players, dynamics, fallacies, and drivers of markets, and finally, give our predictions for gold and silver prices over the coming year. Click here to download a free copy of the full Gold Outlook Report […]

The Current Yield Curve Inversion, Explained

Gold Exchange Report

The yield on the 10-year bond recently fell below the rate paid by the Fed on bank reserves. That is, a bank gets paid more to lend to the Fed for a day than to lend to the Treasury for ten years. There is not merely an inversion between the 2-year and the 10-year bonds. […]