Basic Reports

Partial Silver Crash, Report 9 October, 2016

On 18 September we said, “the market is in the grips of a mini silver mania (we would not dare say bubble, at least not without trigger warnings).” Since then, we have warned every week that the fundamentals of silver were lousy. Last week we said, “Buying silver right now—at least if you’re buying it […]

Deutsche Fuels Silver, Report 2 October, 2016

Last week, it was the Fed’s magic boosting up the price of silver. This week, the slow slide in the silver price resumed, going all week except during peak fear about the woes of Deutsche Bank. When it looked bleakest—and the potential size of the capital-eating fines was highest—there was a wicked little rally in […]

The Fed is Good for Gold, Report 25 September, 2016

It’s almost like magic. The Fed can say something, or in the case of this Wednesday it can say nothing, and gold and especially silver get a boost of rocket fuel. Actually, the Fed said both yes to rate hikes—in the future—and no to a rate hike now. This was good, if not for people, […]

Silver Rocket and Gold Moribund, Report 18 September, 2016

The prices of both metals were down again this week. We would guess that it has something to do with the fact that everyone knows: higher rates are coming to the dollar. The yield on the 10-year Treasury closed the previous week at 1.762% and this week at 1.701%. It may not look like much, […]

Silver Returns Earthward, Report 11 September, 2016

The prices of both metals were down this holiday-shortened (Labor Day in the US) week, especially on Friday. The decline corresponded to a spike in interest rates. Of course everyone watched the action of the stock market on Friday. Whatever the proximate cause, the root is credit. When borrowing to buy assets does not work, […]

The Federal Reserve Report, 4 September, 2016

Why is this issue of the Report entitled the Federal Reserve Report? We chose this headline because the Fed is apparently now the driver of supply and demand of gold and silver. Or at least it’s what speculators in gold and silver expect will drive the decisions of the hoarders, whom the speculators are trying […]

Gold and Silver Fundamentals Up, Report 28 August, 2016

The dollar exchange rates of the metals fell this week, with that of silver falling more. Friday’s trading action was notable, because at first markets (including the US stock market) interpreted comments by Fed Chair Janet Yellen as “dovish”—i.e. low interest rates will continue. This means rising money supply, and everyone “knows” that that means […]

Silver Is in a Different World, Report 21 August, 2016

Measured in gold, the price of the dollar hardly budged this week. It fell less than one tenth of a milligram, from 23.29 to 23.20mg. However, in silver terms, it’s a different story. The dollar became more valuable, rising from 1.58 to 1.61 grams. Most people would say that gold went up $6 and silver […]

Gold and Silver Supply and Demand Report, 14 August, 2016

The prices of the metals didn’t change much this week. We thought we would take this opportunity to quote Warren Buffet. His comment at Harvard in 1998 earns him the despite of the gold community. “Gold gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury […]

The Great Silver Bubble, Report 7 August, 2016

The price of gold was down about fifteen Federal Reserve Notes this week. The price of silver was down sixty-two copper-plated zinc pennies. Is the Federal Reserve Note a suitable instrument with which to measure gold? Can one really use debased pennies—which aren’t even made of the base metal copper any more—to measure the value […]