Gold Fundamental Price

Monetary Metals’ Fundamental price seeks to back out speculative forces in the gold market to reveal the underlying physical supply and demand picture. The degree of divergence between the market price of gold and the Fundamental price is, in our opinion, an indication of market exuberance or pessimism.

The Fundamental price is computed according to a model based on our economic theory. We believe that this model reflects the forces of supply and demand in the physical market however there is no guarantee that the market price will move to the Fundamental price quickly or ever.

3 Month Chart of Gold Fundamental Price

Chart of the US dollar gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold priceChart of the US dollar gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold price
This chart is also available in durations of 3 years and from 1996 to today.

3 Year Chart of Gold Fundamental Price

Chart of the US dollar gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold priceChart of the US dollar gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold price

Max Chart of Gold Fundamental Price

Chart of the US dollar gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold priceChart of the US dollar gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold price

Gold Premium/Discount to Fundamental

This chart shows the degree to which the market price diverges from the Fundamental price. Positive values indicate that market prices are above our Fundamental price and this “premium” is shown in red as it reflects our opinion that the gold price may be overvalued. Negative values indicate that market prices are below our Fundamental price and this “discount” is shown in green as it reflects our opinion that the gold price may be undervalued.

This chart is available in durations of 3 months, 3 years and from 1996 to today.

3 Month Chart of Gold Prem/Disc to Fundamental

Chart of the US dollar difference between the gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold priceChart of the US dollar difference between the gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold price

3 Year Chart of Gold Prem/Disc to Fundamental

Chart of the US dollar difference between the gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold priceChart of the US dollar difference between the gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold price

Max Chart of Gold Prem/Disc to Fundamental

Chart of the US dollar difference between the gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold priceChart of the US dollar difference between the gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold price

Dollar Price in Gold

Monetary Metals® argues that gold is the objective measure of value, against which everything including dollars, must be measured – it is dollar that is rising and falling in value against gold (and silver). This chart shows the price of a US dollar in milligrams of gold.

3 Month Chart of Dollar Price in Gold

Chart of US dollar bid priced in milligrams of goldChart of US dollar bid priced in milligrams of gold
This chart is also available in durations of 3 years and from 1996 to today.

3 Year Chart of Dollar Price in Gold

Chart of US dollar bid priced in milligrams of goldChart of US dollar bid priced in milligrams of gold

Max Chart of Dollar Price in Gold

Chart of US dollar bid priced in milligrams of goldChart of US dollar bid priced in milligrams of gold

Gold Spot Price Bid-Offer Spread

This chart shows difference between the bid and offer price for gold. This difference, or spread, can be an indicator of liquidity or stress in the market. When the market is highly liquid, bid-offer spreads may be tight (or low) but during periods of stress or uncertainty, the bid-offer spread may widen (or rise).

This chart is available in durations of 3 months, 3 years and from 1996 to today.

3 Month Chart of Gold Spot Price Bid-Offer Spread

Chart of the spread between the bid and offer/ask US dollar price for goldChart of the spread between the bid and offer/ask US dollar price for gold

3 Year Chart of Gold Spot Price Bid-Offer Spread

Chart of the spread between the bid and offer/ask US dollar price for goldChart of the spread between the bid and offer/ask US dollar price for gold

Max Chart of Gold Spot Price Bid-Offer Spread

Chart of the spread between the bid and offer/ask US dollar price for goldChart of the spread between the bid and offer/ask US dollar price for gold

All charts are up to date as of Wed, August 16, 2023.