Gold Fundamental Price

Monetary Metals’ Fundamental price seeks to back out speculative forces in the gold market to reveal the underlying physical supply and demand picture. The degree of divergence between the market price of gold and the Fundamental price is, in our opinion, an indication of market exuberance or pessimism.

The Fundamental price is computed according to a model based on our economic theory. We believe that this model reflects the forces of supply and demand in the physical market however there is no guarantee that the market price will move to the Fundamental price quickly or ever.

3 Month Chart of Gold Fundamental Price

Chart of the US dollar gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold priceChart of the US dollar gold bid price and Monetary Metal's fundamental gold price
This chart is also available in durations of 3 years and from 1996 to today. Access to these additional charts is free to registered users of this website. Please click here to Register or Log In to your account for access.


Gold Premium/Discount to Fundamental

This chart shows the degree to which the market price diverges from the Fundamental price. Positive values indicate that market prices are above our Fundamental price and this “premium” is shown in red as it reflects our opinion that the gold price may be overvalued. Negative values indicate that market prices are below our Fundamental price and this “discount” is shown in green as it reflects our opinion that the gold price may be undervalued.

This chart is available in durations of 3 months, 3 years and from 1996 to today. Access to our charts is free to registered users of this website. Please click here to Register or Log In to your account for access.


All charts are up to date as of Fri, February16, 2018.