Basic Reports

Transitory Inflation and Useless Ingredients

Transitory Inflation and Useless Ingredients

Can you remember back to when you were two or three years old? Toddlers often think that there are little people inside the TV (or maybe this was only true when the TV was about as deep as it was wide—and maybe kids today don’t think this when looking at a 60-inch flatscreen…) Anyways, it’s […]

Silver Crash Makes Silver Trash?

Silver Price Crash September 29, 2021

The price of silver dropped a dollar, or over 4% on Wednesday. Some voices in the precious metals press want you to think that there is only one conceivable cause. We should coin a term for this form of logical fallacy: argumentum ad ignorantia. This is an argument of the form: “the cause must be […]

Lower Prices, Stronger Fundamentals

Lower Prices, Stronger Fundamentals

Since last week’s Report, the price action has been downwards. The price of gold dropped about $50, and that of silver $1.35. The gold-silver ratio rose to its highest level since the end of 2020.   Technical chartists are either throwing in the towel, or tearing their hair out. We advise against tearing one’s hair […]

Gold and Silver Price Fundamentals Update

Gold and Silver Price Update

This time, we start with the gold-silver ratio. Let’s revisit something we said on 23 August: “…the supply and demand fundamentals of silver are stronger here than they have been since the Covid crisis. … physical silver is scarcer than gold.” This corresponds to the peak where we have drawn an arrow on the gold-silver […]

How Do They Get Away With It?

How do they get away with it?

Picture, if you will, a government that deliberately inflicts bad policy on the people. I know this sounds crazy, and could never happen, but please bear with me. Suppose the government criminalizes hiring someone who produces less than an arbitrary threshold. Or it forces the closure of all businesses deemed to be non “essential”. Or […]

Where Does Your Profit Come From?

Where does your profit come from

A few recent articles bring to the public’s awareness that wealthy investors are preferring not to sell their assets, and thereby pay capital gains taxes. Instead, they borrow against them, on margin. This reminds me of an experience I had some years back. I was on a panel, and the moderator asked this question. “Should […]

Where do gold and silver prices go from here?

Where do gold prices go from here

One way to look at the price of gold, is that it dropped from its high around $1,900 in early June. Another way is to zoom out, and look at the big picture. Here is a 10-year chart of gold and silver prices. For over four years, after the peak around $1,900 ten years ago […]

What Trick did Tricky Dicky Pull 50 Years Ago Today?

What Trick did Tricky Dicky Pull 50 years ago today?

Sometimes, bad luck can strike. But other times, a catastrophe comes from a series of bad decisions, each the reaction to the consequences of the previous one. On August 15, 1971, President Nixon decreed that the US dollar would no longer be redeemable for the gold owed, even to foreign governments. This bad decision is […]

Gold Price Smashdown vs Gold on Fire

Gold Smashdown vs Gold on Fire

No sooner did we write Silver Rorschach Test, than the price of gold flash-crashed, or was smashed down. On Sunday afternoon in Arizona—i.e. Monday morning in Australia and Asia—the gold price dropped sharply. Gold bug sources claim that the drop was $100, but as we can see from the price graph included in this report, […]

Silver Rorschach Test

Silver Rorschach Test

On Friday, August 6, the price of silver fell from around $25.15 to a low around $24.25, or -3.6%. We were told, also on Friday, that this drop occurred at a “weird hour when there was no liquidity.” In fact, it happened shortly after noon in London. We were earnestly assured that this proves the […]