Basic Reports

The Great Gold Upgrade, Report 15 July 2018

In part I the Great Reset, we said that a reset is a terrible thing. The closest example is the fall of Rome in 476AD, in which more than 90% of the population of the city fled or died. No one should wish for this to happen, but we are unfortunate to live under a […]

The Great Reset, Report 8 July 2018

Before it collapsed, the city of Rome had a population greater than 1,000,000 people. That was an extraordinary accomplishment in the ancient world, made possible by many innovative technologies and the organization of the greatest civilization that the world had ever seen. Such an incredible urban population depended on capital accumulated over centuries. But the […]

An Idea Whose Time Has Come, Report 1 July 2018

“On résiste à l’invasion des armées; on ne résiste pas à l’invasion des idées.” These are the actual words written by Victor Hugo in Histoire d’un Crime (History of a Crime).Translated literally, it means an invasion of armies can be resisted; an invasion of ideas cannot be resisted. However, there are many alternative translations that […]

The Wealth Effect, Report 24 Jun 2018

Last week, we discussed Social Security, a Ponzi scheme that is inevitably approaching its default. That leads us to another point in our broader discussion of capital destruction. Let’s illustrate with an example. The Fraudulent Promise Suppose Eric works for wages. He is 50 years old. His house is paid off, he has no student […]

Social Security Deterioration, Report 17 Jun 2018

We have been writing about capital destruction. This week let’s look at an event which is currently making news. Social Security will begin tapping into its trust fund this year. This happens, as the Social Security Board of Trustees states antiseptically, “four years earlier than projected in last year’s report.” In other words, the economy […]

Common Sense Monics, Report 10 Jun 2018

Suppose you’re driving a car, and you turn the steering wheel right. You will feel the door and pillar of the car push your left shoulder (in a left-drive car). This is an observed fact. Common Sense Physics One idea—let’s call it common sense physics—is that a force is pushing you outward into the door. […]

Liquidity Preference Rising, Report 3 Jun 2018

Picture a scene in one of those action moves. Two guys are fighting for control over the steering wheel. The car is going 75mph, the road is narrow, and there is a drop over a cliff on one side. And there are lots of sharp curves. Central Planning This is a pretty good picture of […]

But “We Owe It to Ourselves”, Report 28 May 2018

Have you ever heard someone say this? It falls into the category of, it’s so perverse, so wrong, and so wrong-headed that there has got to be a constituency out there somewhere, to assert this! First, let’s head off at the pass the objection that the majority of US government debt is held by foreigners. […]

Something for Nothing, Report 20 May 2018

Money has a dual function. Please allow us to go deeper, and more philosophical than we typically do. We promise to tie this into our ongoing discussion of capital consumption. In the following, we will discuss some examples that use the dollar. We are not conceding that the dollar is money (i.e. the most marketable […]

The Demand to Hoard, Report 13 May 2018

Since 1981, interest rates have been in a falling trend. Last week, we said this trend will continue, and the present blip up in rates is just a correction. We did not argue technical analysis, nor quantity of dollars, nor the general price level. Instead, we asked a question: …It seems obvious that if one […]