Basic Reports

Temporary Backwardation: The Path Forward from 2008

The March silver futures contract first entered backwardation on Mar 9 and with a few zigs and zags has not only remained there but has gone deeper and deeper in. The April gold future just entered backwardation today. See the graph (backwardation is when (Spot(bid) – Future(offer) > 0). We shall see what the coming […]

The Decline and Fall of Silver Backwardation

On Friday, I published an article: http://dailycapitalist.com/2012/02/17/the-arbitrageur-silver-backwardation/. I was the only one to cover the news of the end of silver backwardation. And I gave my prediction that the price of silver could correct sharply. This piece presents my analysis and theory of what happened. This will necessarily include some educated guesses, as the big […]