Entries by Keith Weiner

Bitcoin Hyper-Deflation, Gold and Silver Report 10 Dec 2017

A meme we have seen in the bitcoin community seems to be gaining traction. Bitcoin is deflationary. That is prices of things, measured in bitcoin, are falling. For example, in spring 2011, gasoline was Ƀ1.00. This week, that same gallon had fallen to Ƀ0.0001875. Gas has gone down by 99.98 percent! We don’t think that […]

What’s the Point, Gold and Silver Report 3 Dec 2017

A reader emailed us, to ask a few pointed questions. Paraphrasing, they are: Who cares if dollars are calculated in gold or gold is calculated in dollars? People care only if their purchasing power has grown. What is the basis good for? Is it just mathematical play for gold theorists? How does knowing the basis […]

Da Boyz Whacked Silver Again, Update 28 Nov 2017

The price of silver abruptly dropped on Tuesday. There it was, sitting around $17.05 at 14:00 GMT. And boom. By 15:10, it was $16.78. Twenty seven cents of Fed-petrodollar-supporting non-profit illicit profits for da boyz in da cartel (you know who you are)! Or was it…? In the gold and silver communities, one needs no […]

The Hyperinflation That Was Not, Report 26 Nov 2017

Last week, we made a very controversial statement. We are happy to write the truth, and let the chips fall where they may (e.g. our thoughtful disagreement with Ted Butler about price manipulation). We can accept the flak that we get for this, so long as our position is understood. Some criticized our approach as […]

Inflation and Counterfeit Credit, Report 19 Nov 2017

Let’s take a look at an often-repeated idea that is popular in the gold and alternative investing communities. The government possesses a printing press. Therefore, it will never default. It will just inflate its way out of the debt. It will devalue the dollar. The government does not set the value of the dollar. And […]

Intraday Price Analysis, 17 Nov 2017

In this article, we show intraday graphs of both metals for Friday’s price action and provide our analysis of the basis moves. Here is a graph of Friday’s price action in gold, with the February basis overlaid. At around 1:30pm (GMT), you can see some buying of futures occurring, but the price does not move, […]

The Cycle of Falling Interest, Gold and Silver Report 12 Nov 2017

Over the past few weeks, we have looked at the effects of falling interest rates: falling discount applied to future cash flows (and hence rising stock and bond prices), and especially falling marginal productivity of debt (MPoD). Falling MPoD means that we get less and less GDP “juice” for each new dollar of borrowing “squeeze”. […]

Intraday Price Analysis, 10 Nov 2017

In this article, we show intraday graphs of both metals for Friday’s price action and provide our analysis of the basis moves. This is the February gold contract basis plotted with price. Times are GMT. It is interesting how the basis looks like it wants to fall long before the price does. So there is […]

Heat Death of the Economic Universe, Report 5 Nov 2017

Physicists say that the universe is expanding. However, they hotly debate (OK, pun intended as a foreshadowing device) if the rate of expansion is sufficient to overcome gravity—called escape velocity. It may seem like an arcane topic, but the consequences are dire either way. If the rate of expansion is too low, then it will […]

Intraday Price Spike and Crash Analysis, 1 and 3 Nov 2017

In this article, we show intraday graphs of both metals for Wedneday’s price spike and Friday’s price crash, and provide our analysis of the basis moves. Here is the gold intraday graph for Wednesday November 1. This is our recurrent pattern. Basis rising with price, though we read it as reluctant to fall when price […]