Basic Reports

Technical vs. Fundamental, Report 19 Mar, 2017

Every week we talk about the supply and demand fundamentals. We were surprised to see an article about us this week. The writer thought that our technical analysis cannot see what’s going on in the market. We don’t want to fight with people, we prefer to focus on ideas. So let’s compare and contrast ordinary […]

A Hint of Gold Backwardation, Report 15 Jan, 2017

Last month, we noted that there could be a trend change in progress. Not only are the prices of the metals rising (which is just a mirror-image of the dollar falling, from 27.6 milligrams of gold just before Christmas to currently under 26mg). But the scarcity of gold as we measure it, using the spread […]

Introduction to the Monetary Metals Supply and Demand Report

Supply and Demand Report

The Monetary Metals Supply and Demand Report is the only accurate picture of the fundamentals of the gold and silver markets. We released a video that presents some of these ideas in an engaging format. We provide a weekly letter based on data and analysis of the monetary metals: gold and silver. This article is […]

Temporary Backwardation: The Path Forward from 2008

The March silver futures contract first entered backwardation on Mar 9 and with a few zigs and zags has not only remained there but has gone deeper and deeper in. The April gold future just entered backwardation today. See the graph (backwardation is when (Spot(bid) – Future(offer) > 0). We shall see what the coming […]

The Decline and Fall of Silver Backwardation

On Friday, I published an article: http://dailycapitalist.com/2012/02/17/the-arbitrageur-silver-backwardation/. I was the only one to cover the news of the end of silver backwardation. And I gave my prediction that the price of silver could correct sharply. This piece presents my analysis and theory of what happened. This will necessarily include some educated guesses, as the big […]