The price of silver abruptly dropped on Tuesday. There it was, sitting around $17.05 at 14:00 GMT. And boom. By 15:10, it was $16.78. Twenty seven cents of Fed-petrodollar-supporting non-profit illicit profits for da boyz in da cartel (you know who you are)! Or was it…? In the gold and silver communities, one needs no […]
In this article, we show intraday graphs of both metals for Friday’s price action and provide our analysis of the basis moves. Here is a graph of Friday’s price action in gold, with the February basis overlaid. At around 1:30pm (GMT), you can see some buying of futures occurring, but the price does not move, […]
In this article, we show intraday graphs of both metals for Friday’s price action and provide our analysis of the basis moves. This is the February gold contract basis plotted with price. Times are GMT. It is interesting how the basis looks like it wants to fall long before the price does. So there is […]
In this article, we show intraday graphs of both metals for Wedneday’s price spike and Friday’s price crash, and provide our analysis of the basis moves. Here is the gold intraday graph for Wednesday November 1. This is our recurrent pattern. Basis rising with price, though we read it as reluctant to fall when price […]
On Friday’s “Powell Spike”, somebody thought Powell would be good for gold. The price rallied four bucks in a minute, and then another three bucks within 8 minutes. But who? Was it stackers loading up on coins, prepping for inflatiocalypse? Or was it speculators loading up on leverage, betting on futures? And how can we […]
Silver’s move on October 19th was more extreme than gold’s (see here for an explanation of gold’s price action). The price move was four times as great. What of the basis move? The basis move was also correspondingly larger: 30bps vs. 7bps. Again, it uncannily tracks the price. Unlike gold—for whatever it’s worth—the silver basis […]
Yesterday, the Department of Labor announced that initial jobless claims dropped. Quite a lot. So naturally, markets reacted. The stock market began to rise. The euro rose, at least for a while. And the prices of our favorite heavy metals rose, particularly silver. Silver was around its low of $16.92 before the report. Two and […]
These are the intraday charts for Friday, subscriber-only supplement to the Supply and Demand Report for 8 October. The price action was pretty crazy on Friday, so we wanted to show what happened with the basis. Speculative or fundamental? Here is the chart. We see that the basis tracks the price. Although, there is this […]
We have covered many reasons why bitcoin is unsound and not money. It’s a ledger of unbacked liabilities. It is designed to have finite quantity but therefore indeterminate and hence volatile value. This makes it unusable for borrowing or lending and hence savings, but a great a vehicle for conversion of one person’s wealth into […]
Fed Char Janet Yellen said maintain rate, support job market, blah blah. Well, that set off an avalanche of selling. Copper, crude, the Australian dollar, even the euro fell almost 2 cents. Oh yeah, and da boyz in da cartel manipulated gold and silver down. For those hoping to trade their metal for more of […]
